Skip to main content

Q3 2023 Market Recap: A Tale Of Two Economies?

The first half of 2023 saw a red-hot rally in the stock market. However, this came to a halt in the third quarter due to concerns over inflation and central bank policy, leading to higher interest rates. The decline in consumer confidence, unrest among unions, weaker consumer pockets and mounting credit card defaults also contributed to a potentially volatile market in the final months of the year.

The high-growth technology sector could be immediately impacted, as it faces pressure from higher discount rates impacting future cash flow. There appears to be a bearish trend forming around technology. Corporate earnings are expected to decline for the third quarter in a row, with many S&P 500 companies issuing negative earnings per share guidance.

The American consumer is also sharing a dim outlook, as consumer confidence has dropped for the second straight month. Fixed income struggled in Q3 after experiencing a 2.09% gain in the first half of the year. The growing expectation that rates will remain high and the possibility of a government shutdown led to a major bond market selloff as the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury reached 4.80% in late September. The Federal Reserve's interest rate hiking cycle may continue to keep rates high for the foreseeable future, leading to discomfort for both investors and consumers.

The second half of 2023 is shaping up to be much more volatile, possibly creating a "tale of two economies," and all eyes will continue to be on the Fed and other central banks. While economists reference a "soft landing" or "Goldilocks" narrative, current interest rate positioning may be delaying an economic downturn rather than averting it. The full effects of keeping rates high in the near term have yet to be seen.

Read the Retirement Market Recap for an in-depth review of what’s happened in the third quarter. Contact us with questions about this Market Recap or how HANYS Benefit Services may enhance your organization's retirement offering.


HANYS Benefit Services is a marketing name of Healthcare Community Securities Corp., member FINRA/SIPC, and an SEC Registered Investment Advisor. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only and is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, tax, legal or accounting advice. Past performance is not indicative or a guarantee of future returns. The information in this piece is not a recommendation to invest nor should it be relied upon as instruction to invest. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Exposure to an asset class represented by an index may be available through investable instruments based on that index. Please visit our website https://trueplanadvisors.com/legal/indices_disclosures for further explanation and detail surrounding the indices referenced within.

Popular posts from this blog

Innovative employee retention strategies: 9 fresh ideas

Employee engagement and retention are pivotal in every sector, but they carry even more weight in the not-for-profit space, where resources are often limited. High turnover can be both costly and disruptive, impacting productivity and damaging morale. In an era of workforce evolution, to effectively retain their top talent, organizations must explore innovative employee retention strategies that go beyond conventional methods.  Engaged employees are distinguished by their higher productivity, motivation and loyalty, and they are more likely to stay with a company for the long term. Gallup recently updated its research article, The Benefits of Employee Engagement , finding that "low engagement teams typically endure turnover rates that are 18% to 43% higher than highly engaged teams."  In addition to turnover, disengaged employees negatively impact a company's financial health, with turnover costs averaging six to nine months of the departed employee's salary, accordin
Read more

Employee benefits strategies: 5 budget-friendly ideas

Retirement and employee benefits help create a solid foundation for recruitment and retention. They’re also pivotal in enhancing job satisfaction, boosting productivity, encouraging employee well-being and increasing workplace morale. With the work landscape evolving rapidly, organizations are revisiting their offerings to develop stronger employee benefits strategies.  The first area most small- and mid-size employers investigate is quick, short-term ways to foster company culture. In this blog, we’ll cover budget-friendly ideas to improve your employee benefits initiatives. Think of them as smaller action items that can help you gain a competitive edge. Then, we’ll take a closer look at how customizing your benefits plan can support your new efforts.  1. Promote a healthy work culture  Investing in employee benefit plans is not just about fulfilling a checklist. It's about creating an environment where employees feel supported in both their professional and personal lives. Benefi
Read more

What are Alternative Investments? 4-Part Introduction

The market has seen a lot of uncertainty in recent years. Because of this, many organizations are looking for new ways to diversify their investment portfolios. Our best-kept “not-so-secret” secret: alternative investments. In this blog, we'll explore alternative investments with a focus on how they can potentially shield your portfolios from downside market volatility. In addition, we'll break down its benefits and risks and whether it could be a good fit for you. Part 1: What are alternative investments? Alternative investments may help diversify your investment portfolios through non-traditional investment strategies. Non-traditional investment options have varying liquidity ranges depending on the strategy and fund structure. Alternative investments are sometimes referred to as alternative assets. According to the Harvard Business School , the seven types of alternative investments are: private equity; private debt; hedge funds; real estate; commodities; collectibles; and s
Read more